2016, Volume 69 - Issue 4
RSS feed citation: At RePEc
Publication date: 13 October 2016
EMU AND THE ANCHORING OF INFLATION EXPECTATIONSRead the article
COMPARISON OF THE FUNDAMENTAL AND MONETARY MODELS OF THE DETERMINANTS OF THE ARGENTINE PESO/US DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATERead the article
THE IMPACT OF RECENT CRISIS ON THE REAL ESTATE MARKET IN THE UAE: EVIDENCE FROM ASYMMETRIC METHODSRead the article
David MAYES, Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Auckland, New Zealand
Maritta PALOVIITA, Bank of Finand, Helsinki
Matti VIREN, University of Turku and Bank of Finland, Helsinki, Finland
This paper provides a new way of assessing the credibility of monetary policy by analyzing the dispersion of inflation-unemployment observations over time, which is both simple and free from ambiguities related to the choice of the Phillips curve specification and modelling of inflation expectations. The analysis uses data from eleven EMU countries and nine non-EMU countries for 1984-1998 and 1999-2013. The dispersion measures use alternative weights for inflation and unemployment and also a simple Misery index. We find that dispersion has decreased during the EMU period but this just mirrors experience in the OECD over the same period.
Misery-Index, Inflation, Unemployment, Phillips Curve
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